Posts tagged as:

forecasts

China’s steel demand to peak at over 1 billion tonnes?

August 12, 2010

The Australia National University recently held a conference called China Update 2010.  A complete list of papers presented at the conference can be found here.  Among the papers was a very interesting analysis of China’s steel intensity.  See paper #5 China’s metal intensity in comparative perspective by Huw McKay, Yu Sheng and Ligang Song. The authors attempt [...]

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Steel demand forecast for the US 2009-2013

April 7, 2009

Last week I spoke at the AMM Steel Tube & Pipe conference in Houston.  My presentation was titled “Return of the Evil Banana” and provides a forecast of 2009-2013 steel demand in the US.  The forecast is based on a proprietary First River model which relates steel demand in the US to NA automotive production [...]

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